Newfie wrote:Carinke,
I did listen to that Hill video. I was not impressed by the arguments or their background knowledge.
Hersh was unable to get ANY reputable outlet to carry his story because it was totally unsubstantiated, based on a single unnamed source. So he released it on substack, self published.
We're this the first time one could perhaps give him some credence. However he has now cultivated a long history of outrageous unsubstantiated claims.
https://www.19fortyfive.com/2023/02/did ... -problems/The theory that it was Russia operating out of Kaliningrad has far more credibility because they have a proximate naval base, have developed submersible with the capability, and have a painfully long history of destroying civil infrastructure to threaten populations. Putin also has demonstrated he is willing to sacrifice Russian assets to further his personal ego, dramatically in the form of human sacrifice. If he does not care about human life why should he care about a pipeline? Pipeline can not protest their loss like wives and mothers.
People keep trying to sustain out Putin's logic by applying their personal ruel set, asking "What would I do?" While that is grequently a good method it does not work with exceptional people, and Putin is an exception.
In his case it is best to ask "How has he performed before, what are his tactics, what are his goals."
According to David Satter, Yuri Felshtinsky, Alexander Litvinenko, Vladimir Pribylovsky and Boris Kagarlitsky, the bombings were a successful false flag operation coordinated by the Russian state security services to win public support for a new full-scale war in Chechnya and to bring Putin to power.[206][17][18][19][68][207][20][208][209] Some of them described the bombings as typical "active measures" practised by the KGB in the past. The war in Chechnya boosted Prime Minister and former FSB Director Vladimir Putin's popularity, and brought the pro-war Unity Party to the State Duma and Putin to the presidency within a few months.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_a ... t_bombingsIt makes far more sense to me, consistent with past and current practice, that Lutin would sacrifice a key asset to impress upon the West how far he was willing to go.
Neilsons most recent video is on Russias hybrid warfare and the Wests response. His opinion is that these events (cyber attacks, derailments, sabatoge, etc.) are taking place and that the West is ignoring them so that we do not have to respond.
https://youtu.be/EeP_ZZbBIl4My Personal "Best Guess" is that if the investigators (Norway??) have info they are sitting on it so as to not inflame the situation. GUESS being the operative word there.
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I am reading more and more analyst who seem to be converging on the idea that Putin desires an open conflict with NATO and that he is trying to provoke the same. For some reason it seems it is a game, neither side wants to be seen as being the initiator. Reminds me of Fort Sumpter at the opening of the US Civil war. We now have, on average, more than one Russian incursion flight per day which is met by US or NATO aircraft.
Try this, assume that Putin is living an insurance life, he has no more that 4 to 5 advisors, who were all selected for their loyalty not their ability, that Putin was trained in using fear and intimidation as weapons, that is afraid for his life. With that assumption set then ask yourself "If I were this person, what would I do?"
Since we are trading videos, here is an interesting one.
Trumps security advisor.
https://youtu.be/xLDgPV9NiGg